Crypto Market Analysis (August 2, 2025): BTC Slides on Tariff Shock, ETH Holds Relative Strength, Alts Retreat

Market Opens with Defensive Tone

August 2 opened with heavy pressure across the crypto market as broader economic uncertainty mounted. The introduction of new U.S. tariffs triggered investor risk aversion, intensifying volatility in both equities and digital assets. Altcoins retreated more sharply than majors, while Ethereum remained a relative outperformer.

Market Overview – August 2, 2025

The total cryptocurrency market capitalization dropped more than 7% week-over-week, now hovering around $3.5 trillion after peaking near $3.8 trillion. A significant reversal in ETF flows drove much of the decline. Bitcoin ETFs alone saw over $812 million in redemptions, and Ethereum’s 20-day inflow streak ended with a $152 million outflow. These figures highlight growing investor sensitivity to macroeconomic risks such as protectionist policy, slowing global growth, and shifting Fed tone.

Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes sold $13 million in ETH, citing concerns over potential stagflation and geopolitical fallout. His caution reflects growing apprehension among crypto veterans, even as structural drivers like staking, Layer 2 development, and real-world asset tokenization continue advancing.

Bitcoin (BTC)

Bitcoin trades near $115,000, slipping below a key support zone around $114,500 as macro fears triggered a sell-off. Analysts warn that continued downward pressure could push BTC toward $110,000 unless sentiment stabilizes. Meanwhile, long-term holders remain largely unfazed, but leveraged traders face rising liquidation risks. A sustained reclaim of $118K–$120K would be needed to reignite bullish conviction.

Ethereum (ETH)

Ethereum sits at approximately $3,665, outperforming Bitcoin with smaller losses of about 5–6%. The strength of its ETF infrastructure and corporate interest continues to act as a cushion. While short-term flows reversed, analysts cite deeper institutional integration, particularly via staking and Layer 2 scaling, as reasons for resilience. A move above $3,700 could open the door for a retest of $3,900–$4,000 in the coming weeks.

Solana (SOL)

Solana fell to around $165, declining about 5–7% as traders rotated away from higher-beta assets. Despite this pullback, SOL remains a favorite for ETF hopefuls and NFT ecosystem growth. The $160–$165 range is considered a pivotal support area. If it can reclaim $170–$175, bullish momentum may quickly return.

XRP

XRP dropped sharply to $2.80–$2.85, with losses nearing 9%—among the steepest in major altcoins. Despite growing corridor adoption, the market remains skeptical due to regulatory fog and lack of ETF clarity. A breakdown below $2.75 could lead to deeper losses, but upside toward $3.50–$4.00 remains on the table if legal clarity or institutional flows reemerge.

Dogecoin (DOGE)

Dogecoin declined to approximately $0.22 after losing 8–9% in the last 24 hours. The move reflects a fading meme narrative amid broad risk aversion. Accumulation continues quietly in the $0.20–$0.22 region. Developers are eyeing integrations such as Doginals and payment functions through social media platforms to reignite excitement.

Cardano (ADA)

ADA traded in the $0.75–$0.80 range, down more than 6% as the altcoin market faced heavy redemptions. Despite technical weakness, the Cardano ecosystem remains fundamentally active through upgrades like Mithril and Hydra. A break above $0.82–$0.85 could trigger fresh momentum, but capital flows remain hesitant for now.

Shiba Inu (SHIB)

SHIB hovers at ~$0.0000135, showing a relatively shallow 4% dip supported by continued token burns and Shibarium usage. Developer commitment and strong community support act as stabilizers. However, sentiment needs a fresh catalyst—likely from a new use case or integration—to drive meaningful price action.

SUI

SUI continues to show resilience, hovering near $3.95 despite a 6% pullback. Developer activity and increasing total value locked (TVL) on SUI-based platforms anchor its narrative. The $3.80–$4.00 zone remains firm support, with a potential breakout possible if broader market appetite for mid-caps returns.

Kaspa (KAS)

KAS trades around $0.095–$0.10 after a modest 5% dip, consolidating after its recent breakout. Its blockDAG model keeps developer interest high. A breakout above $0.11 could reignite bullish trends, provided liquidity and volume recover across the board.

Pi Network (PI)

PI remains relatively flat around $0.44, down only ~1%, reflecting its speculative, unlisted nature. With no immediate roadmap announcements or exchange listings, the project is in a waiting phase. Market watchers suggest that any confirmed listing could cause a sudden price shift.

Snapshot Table – August 2, 2025

TokenPriceDaily ChangeKey Insight
BTC~$115K–3.2%Broke support; macro sensitivity
ETH~$3,665–5–6%ETF structure shields downside
SOL~$165–5–7%Correction near support
XRP~$2.80–2.85–8–9%Awaiting corridor and ETF cues
DOGE~$0.22–8–9%Vulnerable without retail momentum
ADA~$0.75–0.80–6%Infrastructure strong but idle
SHIB~$0.0000135–4%Shibarium burns providing buffer
SUI~$3.95–6%Development resilience intact
KAS~$0.095–0.10–5%Consolidating after prior rally
PI~$0.44~–1%Still awaiting roadmap catalysts

The Road Ahead: Policy Shock, ETF Reassessment & Recovery Strategy

The August 2 downturn was catalyzed by the surprise reintroduction of U.S. trade tariffs, shifting macro sentiment and cooling job data. The resulting $600+ million in crypto liquidations and reversal in ETF flows suggest this isn’t merely a technical dip—it reflects a potential reassessment of risk allocation in the crypto sector.

Despite short-term turbulence, long-term fundamentals remain robust. Legislative backing such as the GENIUS Act, the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve initiative, and supportive language from regulators give institutional investors a roadmap for future engagement. Still, the immediate concern is whether Bitcoin can reclaim $120K and Ethereum can stay above $3,600 to support altcoin recovery.

Investors should monitor central bank commentary later this week, updates on ETF application approvals, and any signs of geopolitical de-escalation. The coming days could define whether the current pullback marks a correction or the start of a broader rotation away from risk assets.

Read more: Market Analysis

IMPORTANT NOTICE

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