Crypto Market Analysis (August 3, 2025): BTC Softens Near $115K, ETH Holds Up amid ETF & Legislative Support

Market Overview: Macro Tensions Test Resilience

The crypto market traded cautiously to open August as macroeconomic jitters—including renewed tariff announcements and U.S. employment softness—weighed on investor sentiment. Total market capitalization sits just under $3.7 trillion, down slightly from late July peaks, as capital rotated out of high-beta assets.

ETF outflows from Bitcoin reached over $800M, and Ethereum redemptions broke a 20-day inflow streak. However, analysts argue that the pullback is part of a broader consolidation phase rather than a trend reversal. Structural support from regulatory developments—particularly Project Crypto and the GENIUS Act—continues to underpin long-term bullish narratives.

Bitcoin (BTC): Holding Near Key Support

Bitcoin now trades near $115,058, marking a modest daily gain of about 1.09% amid recent turbulence sparked by global macroeconomic concerns. Price action remains bounded between $113K and $116K, forming a congestion zone just below the critical $118K–$120K resistance band. Exchange supply continues to decline, reflecting long-term accumulation despite short-term profit-taking. Some analysts warn that a drop below $113K could invite a test of deeper support levels near $110K. However, sentiment remains cautiously bullish as long as BTC holds this structure, especially with potential ETF reaccumulation later in the month.

Ethereum (ETH): Strong ETF-Fueled Base

Ethereum trades at approximately $3,665.96, posting a daily increase of 5.56% and continuing to show relative strength versus Bitcoin. Strong institutional conviction behind ETH ETFs and growing Layer‑2 adoption are contributing to sustained upward momentum. Although ETF inflows briefly paused, staking participation and gas burn rates remain elevated, offering long-term price support. On-chain data suggests ETH holders are becoming increasingly long-term oriented, reducing volatility. Technical analysts highlight the $3,900–$4,000 range as a potential breakout zone if current momentum continues.

Solana (SOL): Technical Range Holds for Now

Solana fell to about $165–$166, down between 5–7% as enthusiasm around ETF approvals temporarily cooled. Despite the drop, Solana remains one of the most active Layer‑1 ecosystems with vibrant developer and community support. Short-term price pressure reflects broader altcoin rotation amid rising macro risk aversion. Nevertheless, network activity in NFT, DeFi, and social protocols continues to climb. If SOL can regain footing above $170, the stage could be set for a move toward $190–$200 later this quarter.

XRP (XRP): Spike and Stall at $3 Following Breakout

XRP surged as high as $3.03 before retracing slightly to close near $3.00, reflecting strong intraday interest driven by institutional accumulation. Profit-taking capped the rally just above the key $3.00 level, forming a resistance wall around $3.03. ETF speculation and legal clarity continue to support the bullish case for XRP. Analysts expect that confirmation of an XRP ETF filing could reaccelerate momentum toward $3.20–$3.50. For now, the asset remains range-bound with a bullish tilt.

Dogecoin (DOGE): Correction Intensifies

Dogecoin dropped between 5–9%, falling toward $0.20–$0.22 after a meme-driven rally earlier in the week. On-chain indicators suggest that whales are still holding but have paused accumulation for now. The sharp correction came after DOGE overheated on social media buzz, exposing it to volatility. Community sentiment remains positive, especially around X-based tipping features and Doginals. However, technicals suggest it must reclaim $0.24 to resume its uptrend.

Cardano (ADA): Trilogy of Rangebound Movement

Cardano traded near $0.78, down roughly 5% over the last 24 hours, continuing its pattern of consolidation. Despite the dip, ADA remains in the spotlight as one of the more actively developed ecosystems. The Hydra and Mithril upgrades are starting to show early adoption, particularly in enterprise settings. ETF interest in Cardano is growing, with analysts citing its governance structure as a key strength. A break above $0.82–$0.85 would likely trigger a new wave of capital inflows.

Shiba Inu (SHIB): Burn Supports Curbing Losses

SHIB remains stable around $0.0000135, down about 4% for the day, but holding key support due to rising token burns. Shibarium activity continues to grow, particularly in NFT and play-to-earn integrations. Despite its meme origins, SHIB’s evolving utility via Layer‑2 functionality is helping preserve investor interest. Community-led burn initiatives are also playing a critical role in stabilizing price action. Analysts say SHIB must hold above $0.000013 to avoid falling into a lower trading band.

SUI (SUI): Relative Strength in Correction

SUI is trading between $3.95 and $4.00, reflecting a 5–6% pullback while still showing resilience compared to other altcoins. Developer momentum and strong TVL inflows are supporting the asset during this correction. The Sui Foundation reported a 30% increase in developer engagement month-over-month, indicating strong fundamental growth. A breakout above $4.20 could ignite a move toward $5.00, particularly if ETF speculation resumes. Analysts continue to cite SUI as one of the more promising new Layer‑1 chains.

Kaspa (KAS): Consolidation Ahead of Catalyst

Kaspa held near $0.095–$0.10, consolidating after its strong July performance. The proof-of-work altcoin is gaining more visibility due to its blockDAG architecture and unique emission schedule. Price remains range-bound for now, though analysts note increasing liquidity on decentralized exchanges. A confirmed breakout above $0.11 could catalyze a move toward $0.12–$0.13. Community sentiment remains bullish pending any major exchange listing news.

Pi Network (PI): Quiet Pre-Catalyst Phase

Pi Network continues to trade around $0.44 with minimal movement, awaiting news on listings or roadmap milestones. The mainnet remains in a closed beta phase, with development updates trickling in around governance and KYC integration. Speculation remains elevated due to the project’s massive pre-launch user base. Analysts suggest that a centralized exchange listing could act as a game-changing catalyst. Until then, PI is seen as a high-risk, high-reward bet on network effect and speculative positioning.

Market Snapshot: Daily Crypto Overview

TokenPrice1-Day ChangeKey Insight
BTC~$115K–0.2%Holding in $113–116K band
ETH~$3,665~flatStructural ETF resilience intact
SOL~$165–166–5–7%Pressured amid rotation
XRP~$3.00+6% then –Institutional breakout capped
DOGE~$0.21–5–9%Overheated correction underway
ADA~$0.78–5%Awaiting renewed volume
SHIB~$0.0000135~–4%Burn support preserving floor
SUI~$3.95–4.00–5–6%Developer momentum anchoring value
KAS~$0.095–0.10–5%Consolidating after prior rally
PI~$0.44~–1%Quiet ahead of listing catalyst

What’s Next: Macro Volatility Meets ETF & Regulatory Support

August began with macro pressure from new U.S. tariffs and mixed jobs data, which triggered caution in crypto markets. ETF redemptions and outflows hinted at institutional de-risking, but long-term fundamentals remain intact thanks to Project Crypto and the GENIUS Act. Despite a soft near-term outlook, strategic rotation into high-utility tokens like ETH, SOL, SUI, and ADA suggests markets are still thesis-driven. Analysts expect renewed interest at the Jackson Hole symposium and upcoming inflation prints. If Bitcoin can reclaim the $118K–$120K range, it could reignite broader altcoin rallies, setting the stage for the next leg up.

Read more: Crypto Market Analysis (July 31, 2025): ETH Climbs, DOGE Corrects, BTC Faces $120K Ceiling

IMPORTANT NOTICE

This article is sponsored content. Kryptonary does not verify or endorse the claims, statistics, or information provided. Cryptocurrency investments are speculative and highly risky; you should be prepared to lose all invested capital. Kryptonary does not perform due diligence on featured projects and disclaims all liability for any investment decisions made based on this content. Readers are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and understand the inherent risks of cryptocurrency investments.

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