Crypto Market Analysis: July 5, 2025 – Ongoing Correction Amidst Optimism
As of July 5, 2025, the cryptocurrency market continued its corrective phase. The total global crypto market value remained around $3.3 trillion (based on July 4 data). Leading cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum, and Solana experienced price drops. This market adjustment follows a period of strong growth and is influenced by careful investor sentiment as the July 9 US tariff decision approaches. Despite this short-term decline, strong institutional demand and increasing regulatory clarity continue to shape the market’s long-term outlook. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index, at 67, still indicates “Greed,” a slight decrease from July 4, but reflecting ongoing positive sentiment.
Broader economic factors still play a role: a US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showing lower-than-expected inflation is boosting hopes for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. Geopolitical tensions, particularly the Israel-Iran conflict, remain a background concern. Significant regulatory developments include the US Senate’s approval of the GENIUS Act for stablecoins on June 16. The SEC is also reviewing proposals for non-cash redemptions in crypto ETFs. Institutional capital flowing into crypto Exchange-Traded Products (ETPs) reached $17.8 billion in the first half of 2025, with Bitcoin ETPs making up 84% of this. Additionally, Germany’s Sparkassen group plans to launch crypto trading for retail investors by mid-2026.
Bitcoin (BTC): Stabilizing After Recent Gains
Bitcoin, the dominant cryptocurrency, is currently stabilizing after its recent price increases. On July 4, 2025 (the most recent data available), it was trading near $107,493.61, showing a 2.14% decrease over 24 hours. This dip occurred after reaching a high of $108,317. Bitcoin ended June with a new monthly high close to $107,000. It remains steady just under $107,000 as traders anticipate the July 9 US tariff decision.
Short-term volatility is anticipated. Technical indicators suggest that overbought conditions are easing, potentially leading to a pullback as market momentum normalizes. Although the MACD indicates weakening bullish momentum, underlying buying pressure is evident from positive perpetual funding rates. A decisive break above $110,000-$112,000 could propel Bitcoin towards targets of $125,000. Optimistic forecasts project prices between $130,000–$150,000 by the end of 2025. US spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded over $3.2 billion in inflows over the past two weeks, with no outflow days.
Ethereum (ETH): Continued Price Correction
Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency, was trading around $2,417.47 on July 1, 2025 (the most recent data available), marking a significant 3.41% decrease. It briefly dropped to $2,396.97 on the same day. This correction follows a period of strong bullish momentum earlier in the week.
Ethereum’s long-term outlook remains positive, driven by increasing interest in decentralized finance (DeFi) and non-fungible tokens (NFTs). The successful Pectra upgrade in May 2025 continues to provide a strong foundation. Analysts predict ETH could rally to $2,600–$2,650, with a potential breakthrough beyond $2,800 in July. Some experts foresee a rally towards $4,000+ by late 2025, potentially retesting its all-time high near $4,900. Bitget projects a target of $5,672 by the end of summer 2025.
Solana (SOL): Market Downturn Amidst ETF Prospects
Solana was trading around $147.26 on July 5, 2025, showing a minor 0.01% increase over 24 hours. On July 4, it was around $150.12, reflecting a 2.55% decrease, following a 7% intraday climb on July 3. While bearish momentum is still present, analysts suggest a break above $147 could trigger a rally towards $165–$175. Some analysts even predict a potential surge to $300 if buying pressure intensifies, with a long-term forecast of $400 by year-end 2025.
Solana’s core strength is supported by growing Total Value Locked (TVL) in its DeFi protocols. Fidelity, Invesco, and Galaxy Digital formally submitted S-1 registrations for spot Solana ETFs on June 14, 2025, with Bloomberg analysts assigning 90% approval odds. DeFi Development also announced plans to raise $100 million to acquire more Solana.
XRP: Maintaining Gains Despite Price Dip
XRP was trading around $2.19 on July 4, 2025 (the most recent data available), showing a 0.26% increase over 24 hours. It has recovered after finding support at $2.00 and is currently positioned near the $2.20–$2.30 resistance zone. On-chain data indicates growing interest, with daily active addresses surpassing 295,000.
The resolution of the SEC lawsuit, with Ripple dropping its cross-appeal and agreeing to a reduced fine, has removed a significant obstacle. Analysts predict XRP could reach $2.25–$2.30 in the short term, with third-quarter 2025 targets of $3.00–$3.40 and year-end projections potentially exceeding $5.00. PBK Miner, an XRP mining project, officially launched, aiming to redefine AI cloud mining.
Cardano (ADA): Continued Sideways Movement
Cardano is currently navigating a critical phase, trading around $0.5728 on July 5, 2025, reflecting a 4.34% decrease over 24 hours. On July 4, it was trading around $0.5988. It has consistently traded sideways within a narrow range of $0.55-$0.60.
The probability of a Cardano ETF approval by 2025 has increased to 90%, potentially attracting billions in new capital and pushing ADA towards targets of $1.30, $1.80, and even $2.60. The network boasts increased robustness with growing DeFi and staking activity. If ADA retests its 2020 formation, a rise to $2.50 by 2025 is possible.
Dogecoin (DOGE): Modest Price Increase
Dogecoin (DOGE) was trading at $0.1708 on July 4, 2025 (the most recent data available), showing a 0.91% increase over 24 hours. This follows a significant recovery after a weekend selloff.
Price predictions for 2025 range from $0.30 to $1.00, largely influenced by social media trends and the potential for spot Dogecoin ETFs. If the price maintains above $0.15, a sharp recovery through $0.18 could trigger a short-squeeze, potentially driving a quick rally above $0.20.
Shiba Inu (SHIB): Signs of Potential Reversal
Shiba Inu (SHIB) was trading around $0.00001177 on July 4, 2025 (the most recent data available), showing a 1.1% increase over 24 hours. It has gradually recovered over the past week, moving above its 26-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). On June 30, SHIB’s total on-chain transaction volume surpassed one trillion tokens, re-entering the Trillionaire Club.
Some optimistic forecasts suggest SHIB could retest $0.000015 and potentially push to $0.000020 this month, and even reach a new all-time high if Bitcoin hits $1 million.
SUI: Price Forecast for July 2025
SUI is currently trading around $2.90 on July 5, 2025, showing a 0.79% decrease over 24 hours. On July 3, it was trading around $3.00. It continues to demonstrate strong fundamental growth with increasing Total Value Locked (TVL) and ongoing ETF discussions. The Nasdaq filing for a 21Shares SUI ETF is a bullish catalyst (with a 60% approval chance in 2025).
Sui’s price prediction for July 2025 indicates a cautiously optimistic outlook. Year-end 2025 forecasts range from $3.47 to $16.50.
Pi Network (PI): AI-Powered Applications Launched
Pi Network remains a community-driven project facing challenges. On July 3, 2025 (the most recent data available), PI was fluctuating between $0.4863 and $0.5079, showing a 1.5% decrease. A significant development was the launch of 7,932 AI-powered apps on the Pi Network.
Analysts suggest that without greater transparency and major exchange listings, bearish momentum may persist. However, a recovery towards $1.00–$1.20 is possible if sentiment improves. Year-end 2025 forecasts range from $0.50176 to $0.6521.
Kaspa (KAS): Technical Advances and Ongoing Price Debate
Kaspa is currently undergoing a period of price debate despite significant technical advancements. On July 5, 2025, KAS was trading around $0.078597, showing a minor 0.01% increase over 24 hours. On July 4, it was trading around $0.075857. The highly anticipated Crescendo V1 hardfork, which went live on May 5, 2025, boosted the network’s speed tenfold to 10 BPS.
Despite these technical leaps, KAS has experienced a notable decline from its 2024 all-time high, sparking debate about its potential to reach $1 by year-end. CryptoTale predicts Kaspa could reach a new all-time high of $0.60 in 2025. Some analysts predict KAS could settle between $0.35 and $0.45 by the end of 2025, or even $0.50 and $0.70.
| Cryptocurrency | Price (Approx. July 5, 2025) | 24-Hour Price Change (Approx.) | Year-End 2025 Price Prediction (Approx.) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin (BTC) | ~$107,493.61 (July 4) | -2.14% (July 4) | $130,000 – $200,000 |
| Ethereum (ETH) | ~$2,417.47 (July 1) | -3.41% (July 1) | $4,000+ – $5,672 |
| Solana (SOL) | ~$147.26 | +0.01% | $175 – $400 |
| XRP | ~$2.19 (July 4) | +0.26% (July 4) | $5.00+ |
| Cardano (ADA) | ~$0.5728 | -4.34% | $1.30 – $2.60 |
| Dogecoin (DOGE) | ~$0.1708 (July 4) | +0.91% (July 4) | $0.30 – $1.00 |
| Shiba Inu (SHIB) | ~$0.00001177 (July 4) | +1.1% (July 4) | $0.000015 – $0.000020 |
| SUI | ~$2.90 | -0.79% | $3.47 – $16.50 |
| Pi Network (PI) | ~$0.4921 (July 3) | -1.5% (July 3) | $0.50176 – $0.6521 |
| Kaspa (KAS) | ~$0.078597 | +0.01% | $0.35 – $0.70 |
The Road Ahead: Navigating the Crypto Landscape
July 2025 continues to showcase the crypto market’s dynamic nature, with a blend of consolidation, targeted rallies, and ongoing regulatory evolution. Bitcoin’s stability near all-time highs, anchored by sustained institutional inflows, continues to lead. Ethereum’s post-Pectra developments and ETF prospects position it for further growth. For altcoins, regulatory clarity, technical innovation, and community engagement remain crucial. Increased scrutiny from global watchdogs and progressing stablecoin legislation highlight a maturing market integrating with traditional finance. While volatility persists, the long-term outlook remains tied to fundamental utility, institutional adoption, and successful navigation of regulatory frameworks.
