Binance Records Unprecedented Bitcoin Outflows
Binance has seen nine consecutive days of Bitcoin outflows, signaling heightened investor positioning ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s policy decision. Historically, consistent outflows from exchanges indicate stronger buying activity as traders move BTC into self-custody.
The move suggests that investors expect near-term price appreciation rather than selling pressure. According to CryptoQuant, the trend began on September 6 and intensified through mid-September. Analysts view the exodus of BTC as a bullish development for the broader market.
Exchange Flows Point to Investor Confidence
Data reveals that Bitcoin inflows across all exchanges dropped to a one-year low of 25,000 BTC. Average deposit levels have also fallen by half compared to July, underscoring waning selling activity. Such conditions often precede rallies as fewer coins are available on exchanges to sell into weakness. The lack of supply pressure has been a crucial factor in Bitcoin’s rebound from $108,000 to above $117,000. Traders appear increasingly confident that BTC is poised for further gains.
Bitcoin Price Recovers From Local Low
Just two weeks ago, Bitcoin dipped to a low of $107,500, triggering short-term uncertainty across markets. Since then, prices have rebounded steadily, reclaiming the $117,000 level. Market watchers credit reduced exchange inflows and increased accumulation by long-term holders as key drivers of the recovery. Analysts emphasize that sustained outflows create a foundation for bullish momentum. With volatility expected around the FOMC meeting, BTC appears well-positioned for further upward movement.
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Anticipation Builds Ahead of Fed Decision
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting has become the focal point for global markets in September. Investors are betting that the Fed will cut interest rates to stimulate the economy, providing a favorable environment for risk assets.
According to Polymarket, there is a 91% probability of a 25-basis-point cut and an 8% chance of a deeper cut. Cheaper borrowing typically increases liquidity, which often finds its way into cryptocurrencies. This expectation has fueled preemptive moves such as the Bitcoin outflows seen on Binance.
Rate Cuts Could Fuel Risk-On Rally
If the Fed cuts rates as expected, risk assets such as Bitcoin, equities, and precious metals may all benefit from renewed liquidity. Historically, lower interest rates increase investor appetite for non-yielding and growth-oriented assets.
Bitcoin, in particular, has thrived during such cycles, with institutional inflows often following rate relief. Market experts caution that the scale of the rally depends on whether inflation concerns remain subdued. Nonetheless, BTC bulls are betting that the rate cuts will mark the start of another strong leg upward.
Seasonal Trends Add to Optimism
September has traditionally been a challenging month for Bitcoin, often associated with weaker returns. However, many analysts believe the outcome of the FOMC meeting could offset this seasonal weakness. Looking ahead, October has historically delivered stronger performance, frequently marking the start of Q4 rallies. Analysts forecast that Bitcoin could enter the final phase of its current bull cycle in the next three to four months. If history rhymes, BTC could achieve new highs before year-end.
Analysts Predict Bull Run Extension
With nine consecutive days of outflows, low exchange inflows, and anticipated Fed easing, analysts see conditions aligning for a strong bull run extension.
Bitcoin’s fundamentals remain intact, supported by growing institutional interest and resilient on-chain activity. Investors are increasingly positioning themselves not just for short-term gains, but also for the final leg of this cycle. Experts caution that volatility will likely remain high during the FOMC period. Still, the broader trend favors accumulation and optimism for Bitcoin’s long-term outlook.
